NYC race-day risk tool
The NYC Marathon 16 min/mile cutoff is not the same as the 10:00 p.m. official finish deadline.
Those two rules are often blended together. This page separates wave start, street sweep reference and official result deadline so you can see where a target actually sits.
NYC Cutoff Simulator · 2026
See the difference between “on-street pace” and “official finisher deadline”.
NYRR says the street schedule is designed around 16:00 per mile from Wave 5, while official finishers are recorded through 10:00 p.m. Those are two different thresholds.
At this target pace you are inside NYRR’s 16-minute-per-mile street schedule reference. Actual race conditions and pauses still matter.
Checkpoint ETA
Turn the same finish target into a course timeline.
The even-pace reference does not pretend to model bridges, hills, crowds or toilet stops. Its job is to convert “six hours” into a visible checkpoint sequence.
Race Day ETA mode
Tap a finish target. See the whole course in elapsed time.
No form and no personal data. This is an even-pace reference that turns course services into a practical race-day clock.
Use it as a reference, not a prediction: terrain, congestion, toilet stops, fueling and your actual start delay can shift arrival times. RaceZip does not convert an even-pace chart into a promise.